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18. a) the masinde muliro university uses three buses a, b and c. on an…

Question

  1. a) the masinde muliro university uses three buses a, b and c. on any day the probability of the buses operating are 0.75, 0.4 and 0.5 respectively. use a tree diagram to find the probability that on a given day

i) all the buses are not operating (3 marks)
ii) only one bus is operating (2 marks)
iii) at least one bus is operating (2 marks)
asket a contains 5 oranges and 3 mangoes while basket b contains 4 oranges and 3 mangoes. a basket is
d randomly and two fruits drawn from it, one at a time without replacement. find the probability that the
picked are of the same type. (3 marks)

Explanation:

i) All the buses are not operating

Step 1: Find the probability that each bus is not operating.

The probability that bus A is not operating is \(1 - 0.75 = 0.25\).
The probability that bus B is not operating is \(1 - 0.4 = 0.6\).
The probability that bus C is not operating is \(1 - 0.5 = 0.5\).

Step 2: Multiply the probabilities (since the events are independent).

The probability that all three buses are not operating is \(0.25\times0.6\times0.5\).

$$ 0.25\times0.6 = 0.15 \\ 0.15\times0.5 = 0.075 $$

Step 1: Identify the three cases (only A, only B, only C operating).

  • Case 1: Only A operates

Probability A operates: \(0.75\), B does not: \(0.6\), C does not: \(0.5\).
Probability: \(0.75\times0.6\times0.5\).

  • Case 2: Only B operates

Probability A does not: \(0.25\), B operates: \(0.4\), C does not: \(0.5\).
Probability: \(0.25\times0.4\times0.5\).

  • Case 3: Only C operates

Probability A does not: \(0.25\), B does not: \(0.6\), C operates: \(0.5\).
Probability: \(0.25\times0.6\times0.5\).

Step 2: Calculate each case and sum them.

  • Case 1: \(0.75\times0.6\times0.5 = 0.225\)
  • Case 2: \(0.25\times0.4\times0.5 = 0.05\)
  • Case 3: \(0.25\times0.6\times0.5 = 0.075\)

Sum: \(0.225 + 0.05 + 0.075 = 0.35\)

Step 1: Use the complement rule (1 - probability all are not operating).

From part (i), the probability all buses are not operating is \(0.075\).

Step 2: Subtract from 1.

The probability that at least one bus is operating is \(1 - 0.075\).

$$ 1 - 0.075 = 0.925 $$

Answer:

\(0.075\)

ii) Only one bus is operating