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Question
5 in a mathematics class of ten students, the teacher wanted to determine how a homework grade influenced a student’s performance on the subsequent test. the homework grade and subsequent test grade for each student are given in the accompanying table. the length of the rod decreased by approximately 10.5cm.
| homework grade (x) | test grade (y) |
|---|---|
| 95 | 94 |
| 92 | 95 |
| 87 | 89 |
| 82 | 85 |
| 80 | 78 |
| 75 | 73 |
| 65 | 67 |
| 50 | 45 |
| 20 | 40 |
- First, we need to find the correlation coefficient or the regression - line to understand the relationship between homework grades ($x$) and test grades ($y$). The formula for the slope ($b$) of the regression line $y = a+bx$ is:
- The mean of $x$ values, $\bar{x}=\frac{\sum_{i = 1}^{n}x_{i}}{n}$.
- $\sum_{i = 1}^{10}x_{i}=94 + 95+92+87+82+80+75+65+50+20=740$.
- $n = 10$, so $\bar{x}=\frac{740}{10}=74$.
- The mean of $y$ values, $\bar{y}=\frac{\sum_{i = 1}^{n}y_{i}}{n}$.
- $\sum_{i = 1}^{10}y_{i}=98 + 94+95+89+85+78+73+67+45+40=774$.
- So $\bar{y}=\frac{774}{10}=77.4$.
- The formula for the slope $b=\frac{\sum_{i = 1}^{n}(x_{i}-\bar{x})(y_{i}-\bar{y})}{\sum_{i = 1}^{n}(x_{i}-\bar{x})^{2}}$.
- Calculate $(x_{i}-\bar{x})(y_{i}-\bar{y})$ for each $i$:
- For $x_1 = 94$, $y_1 = 98$: $(94 - 74)(98 - 77.4)=20\times20.6 = 412$.
- For $x_2 = 95$, $y_2 = 94$: $(95 - 74)(94 - 77.4)=21\times16.6 = 348.6$.
- For $x_3 = 92$, $y_3 = 95$: $(92 - 74)(95 - 77.4)=18\times17.6 = 316.8$.
- For $x_4 = 87$, $y_4 = 89$: $(87 - 74)(89 - 77.4)=13\times11.6 = 150.8$.
- For $x_5 = 82$, $y_5 = 85$: $(82 - 74)(85 - 77.4)=8\times7.6 = 60.8$.
- For $x_6 = 80$, $y_6 = 78$: $(80 - 74)(78 - 77.4)=6\times0.6 = 3.6$.
- For $x_7 = 75$, $y_7 = 73$: $(75 - 74)(73 - 77.4)=1\times(- 4.4)=-4.4$.
- For $x_8 = 65$, $y_8 = 67$: $(65 - 74)(67 - 77.4)=(-9)\times(-10.4)=93.6$.
- For $x_9 = 50$, $y_9 = 45$: $(50 - 74)(45 - 77.4)=(-24)\times(-32.4)=777.6$.
- For $x_{10}=20$, $y_{10}=40$: $(20 - 74)(40 - 77.4)=(-54)\times(-37.4)=2019.6$.
- $\sum_{i = 1}^{n}(x_{i}-\bar{x})(y_{i}-\bar{y})=412+348.6+316.8+150.8+60.8+3.6 - 4.4+93.6+777.6+2019.6=4189.6$.
- Calculate $(x_{i}-\bar{x})^{2}$ for each $i$:
- For $x_1 = 94$: $(94 - 74)^{2}=400$.
- For $x_2 = 95$: $(95 - 74)^{2}=441$.
- For $x_3 = 92$: $(92 - 74)^{2}=324$.
- For $x_4 = 87$: $(87 - 74)^{2}=169$.
- For $x_5 = 82$: $(82 - 74)^{2}=64$.
- For $x_6 = 80$: $(80 - 74)^{2}=36$.
- For $x_7 = 75$: $(75 - 74)^{2}=1$.
- For $x_8 = 65$: $(65 - 74)^{2}=81$.
- For $x_9 = 50$: $(50 - 74)^{2}=576$.
- For $x_{10}=20$: $(20 - 74)^{2}=2916$.
- $\sum_{i = 1}^{n}(x_{i}-\bar{x})^{2}=400+441+324+169+64+36+1+81+576+2916=4608$.
- Then $b=\frac{4189.6}{4608}\approx0.91$.
- The formula for the $y$ - intercept $a=\bar{y}-b\bar{x}$.
- $a = 77.4-0.91\times74=77.4 - 67.34 = 10.06$.
- The regression line is $y = 10.06+0.91x$.
- Interpretation:
- The slope $b = 0.91$ indicates that for every one - unit increase in the homework grade, the test grade is expected to increase by approximately $0.91$ units.
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The regression line is $y = 10.06+0.91x$, and for every one - unit increase in the homework grade, the test grade is expected to increase by approximately $0.91$ units.