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discuss the statement and tell what possible misuse or misinterpretatio…

Question

discuss the statement and tell what possible misuse or misinterpretation may exist.

suppose eighty percent of accidents occur within 11 miles of home. therefore, it is safer not to drive within 11 miles of home.

discuss the statement and tell what possible misuse or misinterpretation may exist. choose the correct answer below.

a. the statement is valid because most accidents occur within 11 miles of home.
b. the statement is valid because people may drive within 11 miles of home more often.
c. the statement is not valid because most accidents occur within 11 miles of home.
d. the statement is not valid because people may drive within 11 miles of home more often.

Explanation:

Analyze the given statement

Using the Statistical Misinterpretation knowledge point
The statement claims that because eighty percent of accidents occur within 11 miles of home, it is safer not to drive within 11 miles of home. This is a classic misinterpretation of conditional probability and exposure.

Evaluate the role of driving habits

Using the Statistical Misinterpretation knowledge point
Most people do the vast majority of their driving within a short distance (like 11 miles) of their home. Because the total driving time and mileage in this area are much higher, it is natural that a higher percentage of accidents occur there, not because the area itself is inherently more dangerous.

Determine the validity of the statement

Using the Statistical Misinterpretation knowledge point
The statement is not valid. The high percentage of accidents is due to the fact that people drive within 11 miles of home more often, which increases their exposure to risk in that specific zone. This matches option D.

Answer:

  • A. The statement is valid because most accidents occur within 11 miles of home.
  • B. The statement is valid because people may drive within 11 miles of home more often.
  • C. The statement is not valid because most accidents occur within 11 miles of home.
  • D. The statement is not valid because people may drive within 11 miles of home more often. (Correct answer)