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Question
you select a marble without looking and then put it back. if you do this 40 times, what is the best prediction possible for the number of times you will pick a blue marble? times
Step1: Analyze marble counts
There are 2 orange marbles, 0 blue marbles. Probability of blue: $P(\text{blue}) = \frac{0}{2} = 0$.
Step2: Predict blue picks
Total trials = 40. Expected blue picks = $40 \times 0 = 0$.
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