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use linear regression to find the equation of the line that best fits t…

Question

use linear regression to find the equation of the line that best fits the data. predict the average retail price of a game system that is 7 years old in the spring of 1997. at what age is the game system worthless?
the regression line is
r=
(round the coefficients to the nearest hundredth; use a for the age and r for the retail price )
average base retail price in the spring of 1997 for a game system

Explanation:

Step1: Calculate the means of \(A\) (age) and \(R\) (retail price)

Let \(A=\{1,2,3,4,5\}\) and \(R = \{479,419,345,256,169\}\).
The mean of \(A\), \(\bar{A}=\frac{1 + 2+3+4+5}{5}=\frac{15}{5}=3\).
The mean of \(R\), \(\bar{R}=\frac{479+419+345+256+169}{5}=\frac{1668}{5}=333.6\).

Step2: Calculate the slope \(b\) of the regression line

The formula for \(b=\frac{\sum_{i = 1}^{n}(A_i-\bar{A})(R_i-\bar{R})}{\sum_{i = 1}^{n}(A_i-\bar{A})^2}\).
\((A_1-\bar{A})(R_1-\bar{R})=(1 - 3)(479-333.6)=(- 2)\times145.4=-290.8\)
\((A_2-\bar{A})(R_2-\bar{R})=(2 - 3)(419-333.6)=(-1)\times85.4=-85.4\)
\((A_3-\bar{A})(R_3-\bar{R})=(3 - 3)(345-333.6)=0\times11.4 = 0\)
\((A_4-\bar{A})(R_4-\bar{R})=(4 - 3)(256-333.6)=1\times(-77.6)=-77.6\)
\((A_5-\bar{A})(R_5-\bar{R})=(5 - 3)(169-333.6)=2\times(-164.6)=-329.2\)
\(\sum_{i = 1}^{5}(A_i-\bar{A})(R_i-\bar{R})=-290.8-85.4 + 0-77.6-329.2=-783\)
\((A_1-\bar{A})^2=(1 - 3)^2=4\), \((A_2-\bar{A})^2=(2 - 3)^2 = 1\), \((A_3-\bar{A})^2=(3 - 3)^2=0\), \((A_4-\bar{A})^2=(4 - 3)^2=1\), \((A_5-\bar{A})^2=(5 - 3)^2=4\)
\(\sum_{i = 1}^{5}(A_i-\bar{A})^2=4 + 1+0+1+4 = 10\)
\(b=\frac{-783}{10}=-78.3\)

Step3: Calculate the intercept \(a\) of the regression line

Using the formula \(a=\bar{R}-b\bar{A}\), \(a = 333.6-(-78.3)\times3=333.6 + 234.9=568.5\)
The regression line is \(R=-78.3A + 568.5\)

Step4: Find when \(R = 0\) (worthless)

Set \(R = 0\), then \(0=-78.3A+568.5\)
\(78.3A=568.5\), \(A=\frac{568.5}{78.3}\approx7.26\)

Answer:

The regression line is \(R=-78.3A + 568.5\). The game system is worthless at approximately \(7.26\) years.