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Question
a construction company is considering submitting bids for two contracts. it will cost the company $10,000 to prepare and submit the bids, and if won, each bid would produce $50,000 of income to the company. the company estimates that it has a 10% chance of winning any given bid.
here is the probability distribution of ( x = ) the number of bids the company wins, and ( m = ) the amount of money the company profits from the bids.
| ( x = # ) of bids won | 0 | 1 | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| probability | 0.81 | 0.18 | 0.01 |
find the expected value of the number of bids won.
( e(x) = ) bids
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Step1: Recall the formula for expected value
The formula for the expected value \(E(X)\) of a discrete random variable is \(E(X)=\sum_{i}x_ip_i\), where \(x_i\) are the possible values of the random variable and \(p_i\) are their corresponding probabilities.
Step2: Substitute the values into the formula
For \(x = 0\), \(p=0.81\); for \(x = 1\), \(p = 0.18\); for \(x=2\), \(p=0.01\).
Step3: Calculate the sum
\(E(X)=0.18 + 0.02=0.2\)
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\(0.2\) bids