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Question
video lesson 5.2 example 7 – finding a conditional probability
- at a clothing store, 75% of the customers buy pants. only 20% of the customers buy pants and a belt.
what is the probability that a customer who buys pants also buys a belt?
Step1: Recall Conditional Probability Formula
The formula for conditional probability is \( P(B|A) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(A)} \), where \( P(B|A) \) is the probability of event \( B \) given event \( A \), \( P(A \cap B) \) is the probability of both \( A \) and \( B \) occurring, and \( P(A) \) is the probability of event \( A \) occurring.
Here, let \( A \) be the event that a customer buys pants, and \( B \) be the event that a customer buys a belt. So we need to find \( P(B|A) \).
Step2: Identify Given Probabilities
We know that \( P(A) = 0.75 \) (75% of customers buy pants) and \( P(A \cap B) = 0.20 \) (20% of customers buy pants and a belt).
Step3: Apply the Formula
Substitute the values into the conditional probability formula: \( P(B|A) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(A)} = \frac{0.20}{0.75} \).
Step4: Simplify the Fraction
Simplify \( \frac{0.20}{0.75} \). Multiply numerator and denominator by 100 to eliminate decimals: \( \frac{20}{75} \). Then simplify by dividing numerator and denominator by 5: \( \frac{4}{15} \approx 0.2667 \) (or 26.67%).
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The probability is \(\frac{4}{15}\) (or approximately 26.67%).