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ctive 4-3 : use line of best fit to make predictions. what trend line i…

Question

ctive 4-3 : use line of best fit to make predictions.
what trend line is appropriate to represent the scatter plot?
a. y = .75x + 30
b. y = 1.5x - 28
c. y = 15x + 30
d. y = -10x + 35

  1. create a scatter plot for the data shown in the table representing the number of minutes spent walking on a treadmill and the number of calories burned.
time18243040424852
calories260280320380400440475
  1. sketch a line of best fit for the data. predict what the amount of calories that would be burned when walking for 35 minutes.
  2. use your calculator to find the line of best fit for the given data showing the temperature in degrees celsius and the corresponding temperature in degrees fahrenheit. using that equation, what temperature in degrees fahrenheit, would be 17 degrees celsius be?
celcius051015202530
fahrenheit32415059687786

part a: line of best fit equation:
part b: prediction for 17 degrees celsius:

Explanation:

Problem 1 (Trend Line for Scatter Plot)

Step 1: Analyze the scatter plot's slope and y-intercept

The scatter plot has a positive slope (upward trend) and a y-intercept around 30. Let's check the options:

  • Option a: \( Y = 0.75x + 30 \) – positive slope, y-intercept 30.
  • Option b: \( Y = 1.5x - 28 \) – y-intercept -28 (too low, doesn't match plot's y-intercept ~30).
  • Option c: \( Y = 15x + 30 \) – slope 15 is too steep (plot's slope is gentle).
  • Option d: \( Y = -10x + 35 \) – negative slope (plot has positive slope, so eliminate).

Step 2: Confirm the best fit

The plot's slope is gentle (less than 1.5) and y-intercept ~30. So \( Y = 0.75x + 30 \) (option a) is appropriate. Wait, but the original marked option is c, but based on the plot, let's recheck. Wait, maybe the grid: if x is small (like 0, y=30; x=10, y≈37.5 (0.7510+30=37.5), which matches the plot. Option c: 15x+30 at x=10 would be 180, which is way too high. So likely a typo, but based on analysis, a is correct. Wait, maybe the plot's x-axis: if x is 0, y=30; x=20, y=0.7520+30=45, which matches the plot (dots around x=20, y=45). So option a is correct.

Step 1: Identify variables

Time (x-axis: 18,24,30,40,42,48,52) and Calories (y-axis: 260,280,320,380,400,440,475).

Step 2: Plot points

For each (Time, Calories) pair: (18,260), (24,280), (30,320), (40,380), (42,400), (48,440), (52,475). Mark these on a grid with x as Time (0 - 60) and y as Calories (0 - 500).

Step 1: Use the line of best fit (given \( y = 18x + 260 \) – wait, let's recalculate the correct line of best fit. Let's find slope (m) and y-intercept (b) for Time (x) and Calories (y):

Data: (18,260), (24,280), (30,320), (40,380), (42,400), (48,440), (52,475)

Slope \( m = \frac{\Delta y}{\Delta x} \). Take (18,260) and (52,475): \( \Delta y = 475 - 260 = 215 \), \( \Delta x = 52 - 18 = 34 \), \( m ≈ 6.32 \). Wait, the given \( y = 18x + 260 \) is wrong. Wait, maybe the student's mistake. Let's calculate correctly.

Using linear regression:

\( \bar{x} = \frac{18+24+30+40+42+48+52}{7} = \frac{254}{7} ≈ 36.29 \)

\( \bar{y} = \frac{260+280+320+380+400+440+475}{7} = \frac{2555}{7} ≈ 365 \)

\( m = \frac{\sum (x_i - \bar{x})(y_i - \bar{y})}{\sum (x_i - \bar{x})^2} \)

Calculate (x_i - \bar{x})(y_i - \bar{y}):

(18-36.29)(260-365) ≈ (-18.29)(-105) ≈ 1920.45

(24-36.29)(280-365) ≈ (-12.29)(-85) ≈ 1044.65

(30-36.29)(320-365) ≈ (-6.29)(-45) ≈ 283.05

(40-36.29)(380-365) ≈ (3.71)(15) ≈ 55.65

(42-36.29)(400-365) ≈ (5.71)(35) ≈ 199.85

(48-36.29)(440-365) ≈ (11.71)(75) ≈ 878.25

(52-36.29)(475-365) ≈ (15.71)(115) ≈ 1806.65

Sum ≈ 1920.45+1044.65=3065.1+283.05=3348.15+55.65=3403.8+199.85=3603.65+878.25=4481.9+1806.65=6288.55

\( \sum (x_i - \bar{x})^2 \):

(18-36.29)^2 ≈ 334.5

(24-36.29)^2 ≈ 151.0

(30-36.29)^2 ≈ 39.5

(40-36.29)^2 ≈ 13.8

(42-36.29)^2 ≈ 32.6

(48-36.29)^2 ≈ 137.1

(52-36.29)^2 ≈ 246.8

Sum ≈ 334.5+151=485.5+39.5=525+13.8=538.8+32.6=571.4+137.1=708.5+246.8=955.3

\( m ≈ \frac{6288.55}{955.3} ≈ 6.58 \)

\( b = \bar{y} - m\bar{x} ≈ 365 - 6.58*36.29 ≈ 365 - 238 ≈ 127 \)

So line of best fit: \( y ≈ 6.58x + 127 \)

At x=35: \( y ≈ 6.58*35 + 127 ≈ 230.3 + 127 ≈ 357.3 \)

But the student used \( y = 18x + 260 \), which at x=35 is 18*35 + 260 = 630 + 260 = 890 (wrong, too high). So correct prediction is ~357.

Answer:

a. \( Y = 0.75x + 30 \)

Problem 2 (Create Scatter Plot)