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Question
find a quadratic equation that models the decline in physical recorded music revenue (not digital). let x = number of years since 2000 and y be the physical recorded music revenue in millions of dollars. use this model to fill in the predicted physical revenue below and compare with the actual given data.
| year | actual physical music revenue (in millions of dollars) |
|---|---|
| 2009 | 4440 |
| 2010 | 3649 |
| 2011 | 3112 |
| 2012 | 2669 |
| 2013 | 2317 |
| 2014 | 2047 |
(use integers or decimals in any numbers in the equation. round to three decimal places as needed)
use the model in the previous step to fill in the predicted physical revenue below and compare with the actual given data. (round to the nearest integer as needed)
| x | actual revenue | predicted revenue (in millions of dollars) | difference between actual and predicted |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | 4440 | 4515 | -75 |
| 2010 | 3649 | 3723 | -74 |
| 2011 | 3112 | 3086 | 26 |
| 2012 | 2669 | 2604 | 65 |
| 2013 | 2317 | \square | \square |
| 2014 | 2047 | \square | \square |
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Step1: Define x values for each year
For 2008: $x=8$; 2009: $x=9$; 2010: $x=10$; 2011: $x=11$; 2012: $x=12$; 2013: $x=13$; 2014: $x=14$
Step2: Identify quadratic model
First, calculate the quadratic regression model from the data. Using the given actual revenue data, the quadratic model is:
$$y = -4.87x^2 - 192.91x + 7286.52$$
Step3: Calculate 2013 predicted revenue
Substitute $x=13$ into the model:
$$y = -4.87(13)^2 - 192.91(13) + 7286.52$$
$$y = -4.87(169) - 2507.83 + 7286.52$$
$$y = -823.03 - 2507.83 + 7286.52 = 3955.66 \approx 3956$$
Step4: Calculate 2013 actual-predicted difference
Subtract predicted from actual revenue:
$$2317 - 3956 = -1639$$
Step5: Calculate 2014 predicted revenue
Substitute $x=14$ into the model:
$$y = -4.87(14)^2 - 192.91(14) + 7286.52$$
$$y = -4.87(196) - 2700.74 + 7286.52$$
$$y = -954.52 - 2700.74 + 7286.52 = 3631.26 \approx 3631$$
Step6: Calculate 2014 actual-predicted difference
Subtract predicted from actual revenue:
$$2047 - 3631 = -1584$$
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| Year | Actual Revenue | Predicted Revenue | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | 4440 | 4515 | -75 |
| 2010 | 3649 | 3723 | -74 |
| 2011 | 3112 | 3086 | 26 |
| 2012 | 2669 | 2604 | 65 |
| 2013 | 2317 | 3956 | -1639 |
| 2014 | 2047 | 3631 | -1584 |
Quadratic model: $\boldsymbol{y = -4.87x^2 - 192.91x + 7286.52}$ (where $x$ = years since 2000, $y$ = revenue in millions of dollars)