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Question
the number of people who survived the titanic based on class and gender is in the following table. suppose a person is picked at random from the survivors.
| class | female | male | total |
| 1st | 134 | 58 | 192 |
| 2nd | 94 | 26 | 120 |
| 3rd | 79 | 58 | 137 |
| total | 307 | 142 | 449 |
a) what is the probability that a survivor was female?
round final answer to 3 decimal places.
b) what is the probability that a survivor was in the 3rd class?
round final answer to 3 decimal places.
c) what is the probability that a survivor was a female given that the person was in 3rd class?
round final answer to 3 decimal places.
d) what is the probability that a survivor was a female and in the 3rd class?
round final answer to 3 decimal places.
e) what is the probability that a survivor was a female or in the 3rd class?
round final answer to 3 decimal places.
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Step1: Define probability formula
Probability $P(A)=\frac{\text{Number of favorable outcomes}}{\text{Total number of outcomes}}$
Step2: Calculate probability of female survivor (a)
The number of female survivors is 307 and total survivors is 449. So $P(\text{Female})=\frac{307}{449}\approx0.684$
Step3: Calculate probability of 3rd - class survivor (b)
The number of 3rd - class survivors is 137 and total survivors is 449. So $P(\text{3rd Class})=\frac{137}{449}\approx0.305$
Step4: Calculate conditional probability (c)
The formula for conditional probability is $P(A|B)=\frac{P(A\cap B)}{P(B)}$. Here, $A$ is being female and $B$ is being in 3rd class. The number of female 3rd - class survivors is 79 and number of 3rd - class survivors is 137. So $P(\text{Female}|\text{3rd Class})=\frac{79}{137}\approx0.577$
Step5: Calculate probability of female and 3rd - class (d)
The number of female 3rd - class survivors is 79 and total survivors is 449. So $P(\text{Female}\cap\text{3rd Class})=\frac{79}{449}\approx0.176$
Step6: Calculate probability of female or 3rd - class (e)
Use the formula $P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cap B)$. Here, $P(A) = P(\text{Female})=\frac{307}{449}$, $P(B)=P(\text{3rd Class})=\frac{137}{449}$ and $P(A\cap B)=P(\text{Female}\cap\text{3rd Class})=\frac{79}{449}$. Then $P(\text{Female}\cup\text{3rd Class})=\frac{307 + 137-79}{449}=\frac{365}{449}\approx0.813$
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a) 0.684
b) 0.305
c) 0.577
d) 0.176
e) 0.813