Question

question 45

niazs car breaks down, and he is convinced that it was a predictable event even though there was no way of knowing it would happen. this exemplifies ______.

a - anchoring bias
b - availability heuristic
c - hindsight bias
d - representational bias

Explanation:

Analyze the scenario

The scenario describes Niaz believing that his car breakdown was predictable after it already occurred, despite having no objective way of knowing it would happen beforehand. This is a classic example of the "I knew it all along" phenomenon.

Define the options

• Anchoring bias: Relying too heavily on the first piece of information encountered when making decisions.
• Availability heuristic: Estimating the likelihood of events based on how easily examples come to mind.
• Hindsight bias: The tendency to believe, after an event has occurred, that one could have predicted or foreseen it.
• Representational bias: Unintentionally stereotyping someone or something based on a comparison to a prototype.

Connect to cognitive concepts

This scenario directly relates to Cognition and how memory and judgment can be systematically distorted. The belief that an unpredictable past event was predictable is the definition of hindsight bias.

Answer:

• A - anchoring bias
• B - availability heuristic
• C - hindsight bias (Correct answer)
• D - representational bias