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Identify given values and formulas
Using the Approximate Half-Life Formula and Approximate Growth Factor knowledge points
- Initial population in 2020: \(P_0 = 330\text{ million}\)
- Annual growth rate: \(r = 0.9\% = 0.009\)
- Approximate doubling time formula: \(T_{\text{double}} \approx \frac{70}{r \times 100} = \frac{70}{0.9} \approx 77.78\text{ years}\)
- Population model: \(P(t) = P_0 \times 2^{t / T_{\text{double}}}\)
Calculate predicted population in 2050
Using the Population Trend Prediction knowledge point
- Time elapsed from 2020 to 2050: \(t = 2050 - 2020 = 30\text{ years}\)
- Population calculation:
$$
P(30) = 330 \times 2^{30 / 77.78} \approx 330 \times 2^{0.3857} \approx 330 \times 1.3065 \approx 431.1\text{ million}
$$
- Rounded to the nearest whole number: \(431\text{ million}\)
Calculate predicted population in 2110
Using the Population Trend Prediction knowledge point
- Time elapsed from 2020 to 2110: \(t = 2110 - 2020 = 90\text{ years}\)
- Population calculation:
$$
P(90) = 330 \times 2^{90 / 77.78} \approx 330 \times 2^{1.1571} \approx 330 \times 2.2301 \approx 735.9\text{ million}
$$
- Rounded to the nearest whole number: \(736\text{ million}\)
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Question 1
What is the predicted population in 2050?
<blank>431</blank> million
Question 2
What is the predicted population in 2110?
<blank>736</blank> million